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Not bearish on mkt but weak Re concerning: Avendus

Published on Thu, Nov 20, 2008 at 11:50 , Updated at Thu, Nov 20, 2008 at 19:09
Source : CNBC-TV18

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Girish Nadkarni, ED, Avendus Advisors, said he is not very bearish on the market as he feels that all negatives are priced in.

 

According to Nadkarni, depreciating rupee is a key cause of worry right now, while the credit growth at lower interest rates would be sign of revival.

 

Nadkarni said he is positive on power, power ancillaries as these companies are valued attractively.

Here is a verbatim transcript of the exclusive interview with Girish Nadkarni on CNBC-TV18. Also watch the accompanying video.

Q: How are you setting out the road from here upto December?

 

A: Obviously, the market has whole wall of worries to climb and all the bad news that people had expected in October is actually happening now. But I guess the biggest cause of worry right now is the depreciating rupee. I think the rupee had begun climbing back towards the 47 to a dollar levels during the first week of November. From the earlier Rs 50 to a dollar levels it had touched. That was really very heartening but the pressure on the rupee right now is again some cause of worry.

 

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has done enough at this stage to ease liquidity into the system. Sentiment is driving the industrial markets right now, in terms of availability of credit and the cost at which credit is available. Once credit growth actually happens at lower interest rates, I think that is a signal that one can take for the markets today. I am not so bearish about the market right now. Despite all the worries most of it has been priced in the market.

 

Q: So if you had to buy now what kind of companies would you be focusing on?

 

A: To be honest, in this market it is safest to buy companies, which require the least amount of cash for their growth and where growth is intact. So companies which are in the consumer sector, with negative working capital cycles or pharma companies are typically good candidates for buying.

 

Having said that sectors of the economy where investment is inevitable, for example in power in the next 2-3 years, whether you are seeing a slowdown right now or whether you are seeing projects being delayed or abandoned in the power sector- India needs power, it is going to be a power deficit country and for our infrastructure to grow, I think it is very critical. So sectors which are power ancillaries either in the Transmission and Distribution (T&D) side or in the generation side or companies, which help erect power plants, these are companies which you can definitely bet on. These are now valued at 2-3 times their earnings and therefore reflective of deep pain, as far as working capital is concerned for those companies. But these are stocks that one should accumulate in the portfolios right now.

 

Q: Are you looking at buying opportunities in the midcap space as well. Are you making considerations or differences between marketcap as well for your buys?

 

A: The pain that one is seeing in Sensex in the last few days has got more to do with the Sensex and heavy weight stocks rather than midcaps. For the last 3-4 weeks consistently the Sensex and the Nifty has fallen more than the midcap index, which is reflective of the deep erosion that has already taken place in the midcap stocks.

 

From a risk perspective, the larger stocks while they seem safer to hold from a long-term perspective, from the short-term perspective there may be some erosion there, which will probably see the market either test the earlier lows or find a new low for the short-term.

 

But from a value perspective it is midcaps that have been significantly eroded. If one is confident about the sector and the quality of management in those businesses, midcaps maybe a better proposition to buy from a medium-term perspective.

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No reasons for markets to go up

This funda will work in all scrips too, if you calculate for them individually, but keep first and top priority for...

in Market Outlook - Short Term - snvaish at 10-Jan-09 05:29

No reasons for markets to go up

Presently I suggest to avoid bottom fishing, due to bad sentiments in the market, not only this, FIIs and Domestic ...

in Market Outlook - Short Term - snvaish at 10-Jan-09 04:58

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Markets Roundup

  • Sectors
  • Gainers/Losers
  • World
BSE Auto 2523.51 25.19
BANKEX 5381.36 107.88
Bank Nifty 4906.70 77.85
Capital Goods 6679.42 329.35
Consumer Durables 1809.02 44.43
BSE FMCG 1993.96 24.11
BSE Healthcare 2872.75 13.40
BSE IT 2131.99 3.83
BSE Metals 5203.86 401.38
Oil and Gas 5777.59 166.82
BSE PSU 5184.22 68.59
BSE TECk 1800.05 34.32
BSE Small Cap 3555.60 106.92
BSE Mid-Cap 3120.79 77.12
CNX Midcap 3539.10 108.10
Top Gainers | NSE | BSE
Top Losers | NSE | BSE
Advances/ Declines | NSE | BSE
Turnover (NSE) Turnover (BSE)
FII Activity MF Activity
  Price Change
Nymex Crude $ 40.36 -0.47
Re Vs $ Rs 48.26 -0.54
US
Dow Jones (Jan 09) 8599.18 143.28
Nasdaq (Jan 09) 1571.59 45.42
Asia
Nikkei 225 (Jan 9) 8836.80 39.62
Straits Times (Jan 9) 1806.02 21.59
Hang Seng (Jan 9) 14377.44 38.47
Taiwan Index (Jan 10) 4470.45 32.29
KOSPI (Jan 9) 1180.96 24.74
Thailand SET (Jan 9) 459.06 5.97
Jakarta Composite (Jan 9) 1416.67 14.01
Shanghai Composite (Jan 10) 1904.86 26.68
Europe
FTSE (Jan 9) 4448.54 56.83
CAC (Jan 9) 3299.50 24.83
DAX (Jan 9) 4783.89 96.02

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