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Mkts to see few more rallies before consolidating: PN Vijay

Published on Tue, Nov 04, 2008 at 09:35 , Updated at Tue, Nov 04, 2008 at 15:00
Source : CNBC-TV18

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Portfolio Manager PN Vijay expects the markets to see a few more days of upmove before consolidating. He estimates a very bad Q3. However, he expects India Inc to gain strength and come out with good Q4 results.

 

Here is a verbatim transcript of the exclusive interview with PN Vijay on CNBC-TV18. Also watch the accompanying video.

 

Q: Do you see the market stabilising around these kinds of levels at slightly higher levels than here or slightly lower levels than here?

 

A: We rally up a bit because of the slue of measures the government has been announcing and probably big rate cuts by PSU banks in the next one-two days. But after that we may relax a bit because we sprinted about 35% odd.

 

The rupee seems to be recovering against the dollar. We gained about Rs 1.5 to Rs 2 last few days and inflation and interest rates are heading soft. The jury is still out but if one took the view that India is limping back we will probably have a terrible Q3. However, Q4 onwards India Inc should do well then I think we would consolidate and not crash down. I see a few more good days and then hang around for a while.  

 

Q: Yesterday the big bounces were in many rate sensitive sectors especially something like infrastructure. Would you give that a bit more by way of a bounce?

 

A: The Infrastructure sector has surprised me on the upside. L&T came with an impressive increase in order book. IVRCL was the stunner; nobody expected that company to bounce so there is good news on the infrastructure and construction space. The problem sectors would be automobiles and real estate. These two have been hit the hardest and one should be careful.

 

Q: If there is a bit more to go to this pullback rally would you use it as an opportunity to exit particular spaces or particular stocks?

 

A: This is a falling interest rate, falling commodity scenario. Given that scenario we are in a great hurry to get out of anything connected to the commodity space because commodity cycles are long and it would be some time before any commodity recovers. 

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in Market Outlook - Short Term - nightowl at 10-Jan-09 01:44

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BSE Auto 2523.51 25.19
BANKEX 5381.36 107.88
Bank Nifty 4906.70 77.85
Capital Goods 6679.42 329.35
Consumer Durables 1809.02 44.43
BSE FMCG 1993.96 24.11
BSE Healthcare 2872.75 13.40
BSE IT 2131.99 3.83
BSE Metals 5203.86 401.38
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BSE TECk 1800.05 34.32
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CNX Midcap 3539.10 108.10
Top Gainers | NSE | BSE
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Advances/ Declines | NSE | BSE
Turnover (NSE) Turnover (BSE)
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Nymex Crude $ 40.63 -0.20
Re Vs $ Rs 48.26 -0.54
US
Dow Jones (Jan 09) 8583.33 159.13
Nasdaq (Jan 09) 1571.65 45.36
Asia
Nikkei 225 (Jan 9) 8836.80 39.62
Straits Times (Jan 9) 1806.02 21.59
Hang Seng (Jan 9) 14377.44 38.47
Taiwan Index (Jan 9) 4502.74 33.05
KOSPI (Jan 9) 1180.96 24.74
Thailand SET (Jan 9) 459.06 5.97
Jakarta Composite (Jan 9) 1416.67 14.01
Shanghai Composite (Jan 10) 1904.86 26.68
Europe
FTSE (Jan 9) 4448.54 56.83
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