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Ask experts how to enhance your portfolio

Published on Mon, Nov 17, 2008 at 14:27 , Updated at Tue, Nov 18, 2008 at 13:46
Source : CNBC-TV18

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Hemang Jani, Senior Vice President, Sharekhan, feels though the sentiment is weak now, but he advices to play for a pullback, which could take the market to about 11,000-12,000 levels. Meanwhile, Suhas Samant, Head-PMS, Asit C Mehta said his present investment philosophy is purely being at higher levels. One must exit the largecaps and cover it at lower levels, he feels.

Hemang Jani, Senior Vice President, Sharekhan said though the sentiment is weak now, but it will make sense to play for some kind of a pullback from current levels and there are two basic triggers that one could look at.

 

Firstly, there could be some kind of an easing of the redemption pressures coming from the long-only funds and some of the offshore funds. Secondly, one could see one more round of easing by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). Thus, one should play for a pullback, which could take the market to about 11,000-12,000 levels.  

 

However, there could be some kind of non-performing loan (NPL) concerns over the next two quarters, as the real impact of this entire tightening and the slowdown could be felt and particularly the real estate sectors could see some kind of a negative sentimental impact in terms of NPLs.

 

For a pullback, we would be more comfortable buying into some of the known largecap names like Reliance Industries, Larsen & Toubro, BHEL, Bharti Airtel and to some extent State Bank of India. As these stocks would give a pullback of about 15-20%, so it makes sense to play through these stocks.

Also, some of the power generating companies which have fixed return on equity like 14%, companies like NTPC and Tata Power would be relatively better place because of that fixed return that they would get. But companies which are into manufacturing of equipments or which have a huge capex lined up these companies would continue to remain under pressure.

 

Meanwhile, Suhas Samant, Head-PMS, Asit C Mehta said his present investment philosophy is purely being at higher levels. One must exit the largecaps and cover it at lower levels. “We are still experiencing the pressures in heavyweights like Reliance, Bharti, HDFC and even all private sector banks. The view with respect to investments is purely into the PSU banks and PSU companies like BHEL, BEML wherein orders will keep on coming with these companies.”

 

According to Samant, the most important thing is that finance will be available from the PSU banks at much cheaper rates as compared to the private players.

 

“However, at this point of time, we would not be comfortable participating through midcaps or some of the sectors, which are in some kind of an uncertain phase because of the liquidity issues,” Jani added.

 

Samant said as far as midcap is concerned the oil transportation companies like the Welspun and Jindal will not be directly affected by consumer demand and may be considered as a infrastructure play in the long-term.

 

Samant also said tnat currently one must not be into a mutual fund.

Messages on Market Outlook - Short Term

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Other comments

No reasons for markets to go up

This funda will work in all scrips too, if you calculate for them individually, but keep first and top priority for...

in Market Outlook - Short Term - snvaish at 10-Jan-09 05:29

No reasons for markets to go up

Presently I suggest to avoid bottom fishing, due to bad sentiments in the market, not only this, FIIs and Domestic ...

in Market Outlook - Short Term - snvaish at 10-Jan-09 04:58

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Markets Roundup

  • Sectors
  • Gainers/Losers
  • World
BSE Auto 2523.51 25.19
BANKEX 5381.36 107.88
Bank Nifty 4906.70 77.85
Capital Goods 6679.42 329.35
Consumer Durables 1809.02 44.43
BSE FMCG 1993.96 24.11
BSE Healthcare 2872.75 13.40
BSE IT 2131.99 3.83
BSE Metals 5203.86 401.38
Oil and Gas 5777.59 166.82
BSE PSU 5184.22 68.59
BSE TECk 1800.05 34.32
BSE Small Cap 3555.60 106.92
BSE Mid-Cap 3120.79 77.12
CNX Midcap 3539.10 108.10
Top Gainers | NSE | BSE
Top Losers | NSE | BSE
Advances/ Declines | NSE | BSE
Turnover (NSE) Turnover (BSE)
FII Activity MF Activity
  Price Change
Nymex Crude $ 40.36 -0.47
Re Vs $ Rs 48.26 -0.54
US
Dow Jones (Jan 09) 8599.18 143.28
Nasdaq (Jan 09) 1571.59 45.42
Asia
Nikkei 225 (Jan 9) 8836.80 39.62
Straits Times (Jan 9) 1806.02 21.59
Hang Seng (Jan 9) 14377.44 38.47
Taiwan Index (Jan 10) 4486.84 15.90
KOSPI (Jan 9) 1180.96 24.74
Thailand SET (Jan 9) 459.06 5.97
Jakarta Composite (Jan 9) 1416.67 14.01
Shanghai Composite (Jan 10) 1904.86 26.68
Europe
FTSE (Jan 9) 4448.54 56.83
CAC (Jan 9) 3299.50 24.83
DAX (Jan 9) 4783.89 96.02

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